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Egypt's Atypical Military Coup

Summary


There is a great debate underway in Egypt on whether the move to oust President Mohammed Morsi is tantamount to a military coup. Considering that the Egyptian army is forcibly removing a democratically elected president in the wake of nation-wide unrest, the military intervention is indeed a coup. However, it differs from other coups in that direct military rule will not be imposed.

Analysis


There is a great debate underway in Egypt on whether the move to oust President Mohammed Morsi is tantamount to a military coup. Considering that the Egyptian army is forcibly removing a democratically elected president in the wake of nation-wide unrest, the military intervention is indeed a coup. However, it differs from other coups in that direct military rule will not be imposed.

There is considerable public support for Morsi's removal, so the provisional authority that will replace him likely will be a broad-based entity that includes representatives of the nation's main political …

Arab Spring Timeline

Arab Spring Timeline


Year

JUL032013
Egypt: Constitution Will Be Temporarily Suspended, Army Head Says
The Egyptian Constitution will be temporarily suspended and the constitutional court head will run state affairs, army head Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said July 3, Al Arabiya reported.

JUL032013
Egypt: Army Tells Morsi That He Is No Longer President
The Egyptian army informed Mohammed Morsi that he is no longer the president, Ahram reported July 3.

JUL032013
Egypt: Military 'Roadmap' To Include For New Elections, Constitution Suspension, Parliament Dissolution
The Egyptian military's "roadmap" for the country's political future will involve dissolving the parliament, suspending the constitution, and calling for new presidential and parliamentary elections, BBC reported July 3.

JUL032013

Egypt's Atypical Military Coup
A military coup is not the outcome the army wanted.

JUL032013
Egypt: Troops Movements Reported In Suez, Sinai
Some 20 armored vehicles and personnel carriers…

Possible Military Coup in Egypt

Analysis


The deadline attached to the Egyptian military's ultimatum expired July 3, and it appears the military is removing President Mohammed Morsi from office to begin the plan that it leaked to the press on July 2. Morsi gave a defiant speech last night, saying that he would not give up his electoral legitimacy -- essentially forcing the military to choose between intervening and removing him directly or reaching some kind of compromise. It appears the former is in the process of happening, though it is still possible that the military could be engaging in a show of force to dramatically increase pressure on negotiations. The military could be using this brinksmanship to get the Muslim Brotherhood to adopt the "road map" the military released for the political future.

Al Masry Al Youm reported earlier that Muslim Brotherhood and Wasat party leaders had been banned from leaving the country and that it was likely the Egyptian intelligence service was involved in enforcin…