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Showing posts from June 9, 2014

Provoking World War III

By Andre Vltchek

"Dissident Voice" - - It is not prudent and it is not safe to stick an iron rod into a dragon’s mouth. Whatever they say in the West about dragons… but here in Asia, the dragon is revered as the greatest fabled creature on Earth and in the sky. The dragon is wise and patient, and it hardly ever uses force first. But if treated with disrespect and aggression, it is capable of retaliating in a deadly, determined and powerful way.

It is also thoroughly idiotic to go and start terrorizing a sleeping bear. It is obvious what would follow if one descended into a bear’s hole and then started poking a hibernating creature in the head. Nothing good would follow, nothing good at all.



But it appears that those who are ruling the Empire are not obsessed with prudence. They seem to be tired of tiny conflicts, which they are continuously stirring all over the globe. Libya is not enough and Congo is not enough. They need something big, really big; even much bigger than what…

Since D-Day, Amphibious Operations Have Become More Complex

British Royal Marines demonstrate a beach landing during D-Day commemorations in Portsmouth on June 5, 2014.(CARL COURT/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary


On June 6, 1944, Allied forces from the United States, United Kingdom and Canada launched the largest seaborne invasion in history by landing nearly 160,000 troops on the beaches of Normandy in a single day. This opened the long-awaited second front in the war against Nazi Germany and started the chain of events that ended in the fall of Berlin in May 1945. D-Day was the longest day in that assault and a pivotal moment of the war.

In the intervening period, amphibious assaults have been exceedingly rare. Were one to be carried out today, revolutionary shifts in technology and strategy would make a contemporary amphibious operation radically different.

Analysis


Comprehensive amphibious assaults like that which touched off the invasion of Normandy are perhaps the most difficult military operations possible. Defenders are often concealed in strong f…

As Russia and Ukraine Near an Energy Agreement, a Chronology of the Background Issues

(L-R) German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Ukrainian President-elect Petro Poroshenko and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Benouville, France, on the 70th anniversary of the D-Day landings, June 6.(Guido Bergmann/Bundesregierung via Getty Images)

Analysis


It appears that Ukraine and Russia are heading toward a possible compromise on energy deliveries after months of tense negotiations and threats of a Russian cutoff. Each side has given concessions on the technical sticking points and issues such as price. Currently, the energy talks have been drawn out another week, as Moscow and Kiev each weigh the possibility of larger talks between the two countries on the greater Russian-Ukrainian relationship. The progress comes as the leaders of both Russia and Ukraine -- President Vladimir Putin and President-elect Petro Poroshenko -- traveled to France for the D-Day anniversary ceremonies in Normandy. In France, both leaders separately met with many European heads of state, including British Pri…

In the World Cup, Nationalism Endures

The World Cup trophy stands on display in London in March 2014.(BEN STANSALL/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary


Nearly 70,000 fans will pour into Sao Paulo's Corinthians Arena on June 12 to watch the opening match of the World Cup. Die-hard soccer fans will be watching the action on the field, and fans of political affairs will be watching Brazil, but most everyone will be paying attention in some way because the tournament itself has become a celebration of nations as much as a sporting event.

Analysis


The World Cup is more than a soccer tournament; it's an occasion for all the nations of the world, at least those that qualify to its final stage, to determine which one produces the best athletes, the tightest teamwork and the most dominant style of play. Smaller nations fight to prove that they belong among the great powers. This is true for the competitors, but it's even truer for the hosts.

FIFA, international soccer's governing body that organizes the quadrennial tournament, oft…

As Ukraine's New President Takes Power, a Chronology of the Political Landscape

New Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko in Berlin, June 5. (Carsten Koall/Getty Images)

Analysis


On June 7, Petro Poroshenko, a pro-Western businessman and one of Ukraine's wealthiest individuals, will become the country's president. Six months after former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich's decision not to sign an association agreement with the European Union triggered large-scale demonstrations and ultimately a change in government, Poroshenko faces a variety of political, military and financial challenges. He will attempt to balance his campaign promise of further European integration with his goal of engaging with Moscow and ending the Russian-backed separatist militancy in Ukraine's eastern reaches.

Below are recent Stratfor analyses highlighting the events that led to Poroshenko's inauguration.

Low Expectations at the Eastern Partnership Summit


Nov. 27, 2013: The European Union held a summit of the Eastern Partnership, its flagship program to build closer ti…