ISDEI Instituto de Seguridad, Defensa y Estudios Internacionales

  The world today is characterized by intricate geopolitical shifts, driven by power realignments, emerging economic trends, technological innovations, and persistent global challenges such as climate change and regional conflicts. This analysis captures the key aspects shaping the global order as of November 18, 2024. 1. Global Power Dynamics United States The United States remains a pivotal global actor, though its influence faces challenges. Internally, the political climate remains deeply polarized, affecting foreign policy consistency. However, the U.S. maintains a strong focus on countering China's rising influence, revitalizing NATO partnerships, and investing in Indo-Pacific alliances like the Quad (comprising the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia). The U.S. economy continues to demonstrate resilience, supported by advancements in green energy and technological innovation. However, debates over military spending, immigration policy, and economic inequality persist, shaping ...

De-Dollarization Efforts BRICS Financial Strategies : The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have accelerated their initiatives to reduce reliance on the US dollar. At the recent BRICS summit, member countries discussed creating a new international currency and increasing trade in local currencies. This move aims to challenge the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance. Impact on Western Economies : A successful shift away from the dollar could weaken the economic influence of the United States and its allies. It may lead to reduced demand for US Treasury securities, potentially increasing borrowing costs for the US government. Central Banks Accumulating Gold Record Gold Purchases : Central banks, especially in emerging economies like Russia, China, and Turkey, have been purchasing gold at record levels. This strategy is seen as a hedge against currency volatility and geopolitical uncertainties. Shift in Monetary Policy : The accumulation of gold ...

-- 1. Causas Naturales y Fenómeno de la DANA Evaluación del Evento: Las lluvias extremas causadas por la DANA fueron un factor inicial de gran impacto en Valencia. Este tipo de fenómeno meteorológico genera precipitaciones intensas en períodos cortos, y su frecuencia parece estar aumentando en el Mediterráneo. En este caso, el volumen de agua y la rapidez de la tormenta contribuyeron a crear una “tormenta perfecta” que sobrepasó las capacidades locales de gestión hídrica y urbana. Perspectiva Crítica: Esta situación subraya la necesidad de adaptación de las infraestructuras y planificación urbanas para soportar fenómenos extremos. La “tormenta perfecta” expuso deficiencias estructurales significativas, mostrando que la infraestructura actual no está preparada para estos volúmenes de precipitación. 2. Liberación de Agua en la Presa de Forata Antes de la DANA Gestión de Presas y Laminación: La presa de Forata, como otras en la región, realizó liberaciones controladas de agua antes de la ...

 With Donald Trump’s recent victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, global reactions have begun to take shape, each reflecting the unique stakes and interests of various regions. Trump’s return to office is expected to impact U.S. foreign policy significantly, with potential ramifications across the Middle East, Europe, Asia, and beyond. Here’s an analysis of the likely shifts in international dynamics as nations and alliances respond to the Trump administration’s approach to foreign relations, defense strategies, and economic policies. 1. Middle East Dynamics: Israel-Hamas Conflict and Regional Alliances The ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict remains a volatile focal point in Middle Eastern politics, and Trump’s administration is expected to adopt a strong pro-Israel stance. Trump’s close relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could result in increased military and diplomatic support for Israel, potentially fueling the conflict. Implications for U.S.-Iran R...

 Today's geopolitical landscape is marked by high-stakes maneuvers and hidden agendas that suggest deeper strategic motives beyond mainstream headlines. Here's an analysis of October 27, 2024, events from a nuanced and investigative perspective, referencing insights from sources like César Vidal and Lorenzo Ramírez. 1. Middle East Tensions: A Strategic Reconfiguration? The ongoing Israel-Gaza conflict has taken a critical turn, with reports indicating that Iran and Hezbollah are increasing their involvement, potentially escalating the situation into a broader regional conflict. While mainstream sources frame this as a traditional conflict, analysts like Vidal suggest that the situation could be manipulated to serve broader geopolitical objectives. For instance, escalating the Israel-Iran proxy tensions could allow Western powers to re-establish influence in the Middle East under the guise of "peacekeeping" or "stabilization" efforts. This could lead to incre...

  In today's rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, major events are unfolding that suggest deeper strategies and hidden agendas at work. Drawing from independent sources, including César Vidal and Lorenzo Ramírez, let's delve into some key geopolitical dynamics shaping the world on October 22, 2024. 1. Middle East: The Real Stakes Behind the Israel-Hamas Conflict The ongoing escalation between Israel and Hamas is dominating headlines, but independent voices suggest this may be more than just a regional conflict. According to analyses like those from César Vidal, the timing of the escalation raises questions about its broader implications. The conflict may serve as a proxy for larger powers to assert dominance in the Middle East. With Iran and other regional actors involved, the situation has far-reaching implications, particularly for energy security and geopolitical alliances. Some analysts argue that the conflict is being used to justify increased Western military interven...

  Today’s geopolitical events are highly intertwined, with multiple layers of influence, alliances, and covert operations. Here is an extended analysis based on independent news sources like César Vidal and Lorenzo Ramírez, offering insights into the evolving landscape of international affairs. 1. Israel-Gaza Conflict: The Hidden Agenda? The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has taken a significant toll, with widespread destruction in Gaza and massive international outcry. While this is typically portrayed as a security issue for Israel, Lorenzo Ramírez suggests that the true motivations may lie in a broader reconfiguration of Middle Eastern power dynamics. Israel's harsh response, including the recent airstrikes and blockade on Gaza, could be a pretext to further destabilize the region and strengthen Western influence over Middle Eastern resources. This conflict could also be viewed as an opportunity for external powers to reassert control in the region. The United States,...

 El agua se ha convertido en un recurso estratégico y vital que podría desencadenar conflictos en un futuro cercano debido a varios factores interrelacionados: Escasez de Agua Dulce : Aunque el 70% de la Tierra está cubierta de agua, solo el 2.5% de ella es dulce, y de esta, una mínima parte está disponible para consumo humano. La escasez de agua dulce se intensifica debido al cambio climático, que altera los patrones de precipitación, reduce los glaciares y aumenta la desertificación en muchas regiones. Aumento de la Población Mundial : La población mundial continúa creciendo, y con ello, la demanda de agua para consumo, agricultura, industria y saneamiento. Las naciones con altas tasas de crecimiento poblacional, especialmente en Asia y África, enfrentan una presión creciente sobre sus recursos hídricos limitados. Competencia por Ríos Internacionales : Los grandes ríos internacionales, como el Nilo, el Tigris-Éufrates, el Ganges-Brahmaputra, el Mekong y otros, son compartidos por...

 La controversia en torno a la Gran Presa del Renacimiento Etíope (GERD) se ha convertido en uno de los temas más delicados de la geopolítica del noreste de África, especialmente en lo que respecta a la relación entre Egipto, Sudán y Etiopía. La GERD, situada sobre el Nilo Azul, un afluente crucial del río Nilo, es el proyecto hidroeléctrico más grande de África y tiene una enorme importancia para Etiopía en términos de desarrollo económico, generación de electricidad y seguridad energética. Sin embargo, para Egipto y, en menor medida, Sudán, el proyecto suscita preocupaciones serias, sobre todo relacionadas con el acceso al agua y la posible disminución del caudal del Nilo, fuente vital para ambos países. Perspectiva de Etiopía Para Etiopía, la GERD es un proyecto de desarrollo nacional de importancia estratégica. El país tiene como objetivo generar más de 6,000 megavatios de electricidad, lo que no solo cubriría las necesidades internas de su población (que sufre de serios proble...

  Today’s global geopolitical landscape is characterized by a series of events involving strategic maneuvers, regional conflicts, and shifts in global alliances. This analysis draws from independent perspectives to offer a comprehensive overview of key developments around the world on October 20, 2024. 1. The Israel-Hamas Conflict: Strategic and Economic Dimensions The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has escalated, with both sides experiencing heavy casualties and humanitarian crises intensifying. This conflict is often presented as a continuation of the long-standing Israeli-Palestinian struggle. However, analysts point to broader strategic and economic considerations at play. The conflict comes at a time of increased competition for regional influence and control over energy resources in the Eastern Mediterranean. In the background, Israel’s growing offshore gas reserves and the strategic location of Gaza have raised questions about whether these resources are an underl...

At the center of this conspiracy narrative is the idea that the Federal Reserve's monetary policies are far from neutral or benign. The argument is that the Fed’s ability to "create money from thin air" through actions like quantitative easing and open market operations is not just about stimulating the economy or managing inflation; it's about systematically devaluing the currency in a controlled manner, transferring wealth from ordinary citizens to the wealthy, and using cartel money to strategically influence the economy. Here's how this conspiracy theory links the Fed’s money creation with cartel activity: 1. The Federal Reserve's Control over Money Creation : According to the theory, the Federal Reserve’s ability to create money electronically without backing it with physical assets (like gold) is part of a strategy to devalue the currency over time. By injecting vast amounts of new dollars into the economy, the Fed dilutes the value of existing dollar...

  Situation Reports  -  October 16, 2024 By  Eric J. Uribe Russian use of hard power has been displayed on the global stage for nearly 20 years. Since the invasion of Georgia in 2008 and subsequent invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin’s apparent tool of choice in foreign policy has been military action and coercion through force. With the appearance of “little green men” in Crimea in 2014, the use of deniable means by the Russian government signaled a shift in the methods by which it sought to further its national interests. Among these methods, the Russian private military company (PMC) or сhastnaya voyennaya kompaniya (ЧВК) has grown in utility and effectiveness to achieve the objectives of the Russian government. The most overt actions of Russian PMCs often correlate with hard-power applications such as the use of  Wagner PMC  in combat for strategic cities in Ukraine and its  use  in Donbass in 2014-15. However, ...