ISDEI Instituto de Seguridad, Defensa y Estudios Internacionales

  The world today is characterized by intricate geopolitical shifts, driven by power realignments, emerging economic trends, technological innovations, and persistent global challenges such as climate change and regional conflicts. This analysis captures the key aspects shaping the global order as of November 18, 2024. 1. Global Power Dynamics United States The United States remains a pivotal global actor, though its influence faces challenges. Internally, the political climate remains deeply polarized, affecting foreign policy consistency. However, the U.S. maintains a strong focus on countering China's rising influence, revitalizing NATO partnerships, and investing in Indo-Pacific alliances like the Quad (comprising the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia). The U.S. economy continues to demonstrate resilience, supported by advancements in green energy and technological innovation. However, debates over military spending, immigration policy, and economic inequality persist, shaping ...

De-Dollarization Efforts BRICS Financial Strategies : The BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) have accelerated their initiatives to reduce reliance on the US dollar. At the recent BRICS summit, member countries discussed creating a new international currency and increasing trade in local currencies. This move aims to challenge the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance. Impact on Western Economies : A successful shift away from the dollar could weaken the economic influence of the United States and its allies. It may lead to reduced demand for US Treasury securities, potentially increasing borrowing costs for the US government. Central Banks Accumulating Gold Record Gold Purchases : Central banks, especially in emerging economies like Russia, China, and Turkey, have been purchasing gold at record levels. This strategy is seen as a hedge against currency volatility and geopolitical uncertainties. Shift in Monetary Policy : The accumulation of gold ...

-- 1. Causas Naturales y Fenómeno de la DANA Evaluación del Evento: Las lluvias extremas causadas por la DANA fueron un factor inicial de gran impacto en Valencia. Este tipo de fenómeno meteorológico genera precipitaciones intensas en períodos cortos, y su frecuencia parece estar aumentando en el Mediterráneo. En este caso, el volumen de agua y la rapidez de la tormenta contribuyeron a crear una “tormenta perfecta” que sobrepasó las capacidades locales de gestión hídrica y urbana. Perspectiva Crítica: Esta situación subraya la necesidad de adaptación de las infraestructuras y planificación urbanas para soportar fenómenos extremos. La “tormenta perfecta” expuso deficiencias estructurales significativas, mostrando que la infraestructura actual no está preparada para estos volúmenes de precipitación. 2. Liberación de Agua en la Presa de Forata Antes de la DANA Gestión de Presas y Laminación: La presa de Forata, como otras en la región, realizó liberaciones controladas de agua antes de la ...

 With Donald Trump’s recent victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, global reactions have begun to take shape, each reflecting the unique stakes and interests of various regions. Trump’s return to office is expected to impact U.S. foreign policy significantly, with potential ramifications across the Middle East, Europe, Asia, and beyond. Here’s an analysis of the likely shifts in international dynamics as nations and alliances respond to the Trump administration’s approach to foreign relations, defense strategies, and economic policies. 1. Middle East Dynamics: Israel-Hamas Conflict and Regional Alliances The ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict remains a volatile focal point in Middle Eastern politics, and Trump’s administration is expected to adopt a strong pro-Israel stance. Trump’s close relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could result in increased military and diplomatic support for Israel, potentially fueling the conflict. Implications for U.S.-Iran R...