Security forces of the Central African Republic patrol in the capital, Bangui, on Nov. 22. (PACOME PABANDJI/AFP/Getty Images)
Summary
The deployment of French troops to the Central African Republic brings Paris to a new level of commitment in the conflict, where it had previously limited its presence to protecting French interests and providing logistical support to African peacekeepers. The French government said Nov. 26 that it would deploy about 1,000 troops to the landlocked African nation, where the government and African peacekeeping forces have failed to put an end to insecurity. However, the French forces will likely avoid direct engagement with the remaining rebel forces in the country.
Analysis
The Central African Republic has been racked by violence since current President Michel Djotodia's rise to power through a rebellion in March. After the Seleka alliance of rebels brought Djotodia to power, he disbanded the alliance, but his lack of control over the rebels and the limited capabilities of the country's security forces have meant that he has been unable to control the spread of local militias or quell continuing violence against civilians.
After meeting in Paris with French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, Central African Republic Prime Minister Nicolas Tiangaye said France had committed to deploying 800 more soldiers to the Central African Republic. France currently has 410 soldiers in the country who are responsible for guarding the airport and French interests as well as providing logistical support for the African peacekeeping forces in the country.
French Defense Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian confirmed the statement, saying France would send about 1,000 troops for security operations in the Central African Republic. Paris also submitted a draft resolution to the U.N. Security Council on Nov. 25 regarding peacekeeping operations in the country. The resolution would strengthen the mandate of peacekeepers in the Central African Republic as a first step to transform the existing operation into an African Union operation -- a transition that is already underway -- and potentially into a U.N. operation later. The mandate would allow African and French forces to use "all necessary measures" to protect civilians in the country.
At the moment there are 2,500 African troops from Cameroon, Chad, Gabon and the Republic of the Congo deployed in the country, but they operate mainly in the capital, Bangui. Organized by the Economic Community of Central African States, this peacekeeping force is currently transitioning into an African Union operation that will eventually number 3,600 troops.
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While the African Union force secures Bangui and other hotspots, such as Bossangoa and Bouca north of the capital, Tiangaye has suggested that French forces would be responsible for patrolling the main roads connecting Bangui to Cameroon as well as other roads leading to the northwestern part of the country. These patrols would help prevent future rebel attacks on Cameroon like the one that occurred Nov. 18. However, France will probably avoid the main sites of rebel activity and will push African troops to deal with those areas.
Before committing to the deployment, France had been pushing the U.N. to take steps to secure the Central African Republic. While France is interested in protecting its strategic interests and honoring its political alliances abroad, international legitimacy is a very sensitive issue for Paris, particularly after the debate over military intervention in Syria. At a time when France is dealing with domestic problems, the government of President Francois Hollande wants U.N. backing to prevent potential criticism at home. U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon recently presented a report to the Security Council outlining a plan that includes the African Union assuming control of peacekeeping -- an effort already underway -- and the potential involvement of 6,000-9,000 U.N. forces if the African Union force is unable to secure the country.
The peacekeepers, both those currently deployed and those soon to be deployed, are unlikely to completely secure the Central African Republic. The scale of operations being planned will mostly seek to secure Bangui and other population centers that have seen frequent rebel activity. The fragmented rebel groups that used to make up the Seleka alliance, preoccupied with looting and pillaging instead of fighting for control of the country, will probably try to avoid confrontation with peacekeepers. While foreign forces may be able to limit spillover into neighboring countries and return stability to major towns, activity by smaller rebel groups in remote areas of the Central African Republic is likely to continue.
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