Skip to main content

Russian Air Force monitoring Daesh attempts to flee Raqqa disguised as civilians


… from  Sputnik News,  Moscow

Will ISIS really try to shoot their way out of Raqqa?
Editor’s Note: The US Coalition shows its hand once again, its love for using proxy terrorism against Syria. While the US Kurdish allies have been tagged with making this deal to let ISIS retreat from Raqqa via the southern exit that was left open for them, the Washington-Pentagon hand would really be behind it.
I saw when the Kurdish forces that took Tabqa did not advancefurther east to cut Raqqa’s southern exit road that a plan was in place to use them against Assad somehow.
But the plan does not really make sense,because even if they are allowed to escape to fight the Palmyra SAA forces, they cannot carry in one convoy enough supplies to sustain an offensive.
The only feasible destination would be getting to Deir-Ezzor to join that big battle, unless they accepted a suicide mission to attack the northern flank of Palmyra, which would fail and accomplish nothing accept divert some SAA forces for a few days to deal with those that got by the Russia planes.
That said, leaving the southern door open for ISIS to run the gauntlet to Deir-Ezzor makes a lot of sense as it would avoid more civilian deaths and infrastructure destruction inside Raqqa.  It is the Syrian people in Deir-Ezzor who would get the short end  of the stick, because if the US would cooperate with the Russia air campaign the two air forces could wipe out any ISIS columns on the southern escape route.
The US of course would consider that a poor use of ISIS fighters, preferring instead to them use them as cannon fodder to attack the SAA, if even on a suicide mission which benefits all long term. The worse scenario is to let these experienced ISIS fighters escape so they can later reform and attack in another place, at another time, and maybe even with funding and support from the Saudis and US again. Welcome to how the world really works … Jim W. Dean ]
Jim’s Editor’s Notes are solely crowdfunded via PayPal – JimWDean@aol.com
This includes research, needed field trips, Heritage TV Legacy archiving, and more – Thanks for helping out
*

The SAA fighting spirit is at a peak as they know they are winning
–  First published  …  May 27, 2017  –
A military source has confirmed that the Russian Aerospace Defense Forces have eliminated some 120 Daesh militants trying to flee the group’s self-proclaimed capital of Raqqa, Syria. Mideast expert Semyon Bagdasarov warns that it’s likely that the terrorists will try to take advantage of the humanitarian corridor established by Kurdish forces.
Speaking to Sputnik, a military source confirmed Saturday that 120 Daesh militants traveling in 39 pickup trucks armed with large-caliber machineguns were eliminated May 25 as they attempted to flee Raqqa for Palmyra, the central Syrian liberated by government forces earlier this year.
The source added that the Russian military contingent in Syria has received several intelligence reports that Daesh had made a deal with units of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) operating outside Raqqa, under which militants would be allowed to leave the city unimpeded.
“Upon receiving this information, the command of the Russian contingent in Syria has taken measures to prevent the exodus of Daesh terrorists in the southern direction,” the source said.
The military source added that Russian intelligence drones have set up a perimeter around the city to monitor possible terrorist escape routes, with combat aircraft and special forces units engaged in preventing militants’ escape.
“Any attempts by Daesh militants to move toward Palmyra and to build up their forces there will be squashed,” the source said.
Speaking to Zvezda, the official television channel of the Russian Defense Ministry, Semyon Bagdasarov, a highly respected Russian military and political analyst specializing in Mideast affairs, warned that Daesh militants will be likely to make attempts to break out of the city using humanitarian corridors opened by the Kurdish forces.
“I understand that humanitarian corridors have been opened for Raqqa’s [civilian] population to exit the city. It’s another thing completely that Daesh militants may well take advantage of these corridors,” Bagdasarov said. “Where they go — in the direction of Palmyra or somewhere else – this is another question,” the observer added.
Jihadist militants operating in Syria and Iraq have been known for their use of the cowardly tactic of disguising themselves as civilians (sometimes even as women) to flee the combat zone once the military balance turns against them. Amid the Russian campaign of airstrikes in Syria, which began in 2015, reports emerged that Daesh militants were shaving their beards en masse and fleeing across the Syrian border to Turkey as ‘refugees’. Now, it seems that a similar situation may repeat itself in Raqqa.
Asked to comment on the rumored plans of a US-led coalition assault on the city, Bagdasarov noted that such plans have existed since at least last month, but have been held up by diplomatic considerations.
“It was assumed that the storming [of Raqqa] would start in early April. After that, the Americans moved it to a later date, due to a number of issues, including diplomatic ones related to Turkey,” the analyst said.  
Turkey had voiced its opposition to Washington’s plan to arm Kurdish fighters for an assault on Raqqa; Ankara considers Syrian Kurdish groups known as the Kurdish Peoples’ Protection Units (YPG), who form the backbone of the SDF, to be terrorists.
Russia has also criticized the US plans, but for a different reason. Earlier this month, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said that all weapons deliveries to Syria must be directed to the country’s legitimate, internationally recognized government.
Now, Bagdasarov noted, “after the US [goes forward] with the delivery of weapons to the Kurds…the question of the storm of Raqqa, preparations for which are underway, [will be decided].”
Asked to comment on Moscow’s influence on the situation in the self-proclaimed Daesh capital, Bagdasarov said that defensive positions outside the city aside, Russia is not participating in the campaign to storm the city.
“We have no influence on the storming of Raqqa, and are not participating in it. If some number of Daesh militants escape the city and find themselves in the combat zone where our coalition is operating, it will be necessary to fight them.” As for the city itself, the observer emphasized that “our influence in the area is small.”

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Why States Still Use Barrel Bombs

Smoke ascends after a Syrian military helicopter allegedly dropped a barrel bomb over the city of Daraya on Jan. 31.(FADI DIRANI/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary
Barrel bombs are not especially effective weapons. They are often poorly constructed; they fail to detonate more often than other devices constructed for a similar purpose; and their lack of precision means they can have a disproportionate effect on civilian populations.

However, combatants continue to use barrel bombs in conflicts, including in recent and ongoing conflicts in Africa and the Middle East, and they are ideally suited to the requirements of resource-poor states.

Analysis


Barrel bombs are improvised devices that contain explosive filling and shrapnel packed into a container, often in a cylindrical shape such as a barrel. The devices continue to be dropped on towns all over Syria. Indeed, there have been several documented cases of their use in Iraq over the past months, and residents of the city of Mosul, which was recently …

Russia Looks East for New Oil Markets

Click to Enlarge


In the final years of the Soviet Union, Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev began orienting his foreign policy toward Asia in response to a rising Japan. Putin has also piloted a much-touted pivot to Asia, coinciding with renewed U.S. interest in the area. A good expression of intent was Russia's hosting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in 2012 in Vladivostok, near Russia's borders with China and North Korea. Although its efforts in Asia have been limited by more direct interests in Russia's periphery and in Europe, Moscow recently has been able to look more to the east.

Part of this renewed interest involves finding new export markets for Russian hydrocarbons. Russia's economy relies on energy exports, particularly crude oil and natural gas exported via pipeline to the West. However, Western Europe is diversifying its energy sources as new supplies come online out of a desire to reduce its dependence on Russian energy supplies.

This has forced…

In Yemen, a Rebel Advance Could Topple the Regime

Shia loyal to the al-Houthi movement ride past Yemeni soldiers near Yaz, Yemen, in May. (MOHAMMED HUWAIS/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary


The success of a rebel campaign in northern Yemen is threatening to destabilize the already weak and overwhelmed government in Sanaa. After capturing the city of Amran, a mere 50 kilometers (30 miles) from the capital, in early July, the rebels from the al-Houthi tribe are in their strongest position yet. The Yemeni government is developing plans to divide the country into six federal regions, and the rebels believe this is their chance to claim territory for the future bargaining.

The central government is nearly powerless to fend off the rebels; its forces are already stretched thin. Neighboring Saudi Arabia has intervened in Yemen before and still supports Sunni tribes in the north, but the risk of inciting a Shiite backlash or creating space for jihadists to move in could deter another intervention.

Analysis


Followers of Zaidi Islam, a branch of Shiism, rul…